Regarding the time horizon, vehicle-related use cases require the strong integration of third parties such as fueling station providers. Because some actors are already entering the market as intermediaries, it is realistic for these use cases to be implemented in the medium to long term. The last segment, “non-vehicle payments,” shows moderate potential for customer demand in Germany. According to the GfK study, nearly one in two drivers could envisage using drive-in services such as grocery pickup, in which the car handles the payment process automatically and without further intervention.5
Realization of the third use case segment is likely to be rather long-term because, as demonstrated by various failures in the past (e.g., GM ending its once promising in-vehicle “Marketplace” in 20229), the systemic integration with merchants is complex. In this context, the technological development toward autonomous cars needs to be considered as well: In the future, as we transition to autonomous transportation, all mobility-related payments will increasingly become connected to the car itself. Hence, the mass market adoption of autonomous vehicles represents a sort of cutoff point by which OEMs will need to have created well-functioning in-vehicle payment service offerings.
Untapped commercial potential due to a closed ecosystem
Making these use cases a reality requires multiple stakeholders with various roles within the ecosystem. On one side of the equation, the OEMs integrate the required hardware and software into their vehicles so as to enable in-car payment functions. Service providers, such as fuel and charging station providers, supply the products demanded for in-vehicle payments. In between the OEMs and the service providers, platform providers bundle a network of different service providers and leverage their competences by connecting multiple stakeholders.10 Lastly, financial services players make payment processing possible and ensure secure and reliable transaction processing for customers.
Despite the emergence of new business opportunities for in-vehicle payments, its commercial potential remains untapped because the ecosystem remains closed. Automakers currently attempt to maintain control over the payment experience, so as to fully capture any additional revenue potential as well as increase the security of payment processes. As a result, complementors have difficulty accessing the ecosystem, and the users’ in-vehicle payment experience is less seamless.
First movers are positioning themselves
In spite of this fragmentation, several first movers from different industries are already working on various approaches toward dominating the market and thus consolidating their competitive positions at an early stage. One of these first movers is Ryd, which was founded in 2014 and entered the industry as a platform provider. Ryd aims to aggregate fuel station providers in order to simplify the integration of fueling and charging processes into the in-vehicle payment experience. In 2020, the start-up closed a double-digit million funding round for its European rollout, which involved strategic partners, such as Mastercard and Mercedes-Benz, making significant investments in the company.6 Uli Kiendl, CEO of Ryd, highlights the importance of remaining technology or device agnostic as a key differentiator in the business: “If customers want to connect via CarPlay or Android Auto, they can easily do so using our Ryd pay app. However, our collaboration with Mercedes-Benz also demonstrates our ability to directly integrate into the car and we believe this native integration will be the future.”
Another player joining the marketplace is Visa, which has entered into a partnership with Mercedes-Benz with the goal of simplifying authentication processes. With its cloud-based tokenization approach, the required two-factor authentication is carried out biometrically via an integrated fingerprint sensor, making the driver experience more seamless. In February 2022, Vodafone also launched its Digital Asset Broker (DAB), which is essentially a decentralized platform aggregator that aims to take the world of connected devices to the next level. David Palmer, Vodafone DAB’s Chief Product Officer, on his company’s plan to spearhead the Economy of Things: “DAB aims to become the Google of devices by leveraging Vodafone’s global footprint in IoT.” DAB assigns the vehicle a digital identity using the SIM card, which allows it to authenticate and conduct automatic transactions via incorporated payment credentials on a SIM wallet.
Three roadblocks need to be overcome
Although the entry of first movers represents a positive development toward increasing the maturity of the market, there are still some roadblocks that need to be overcome in order to launch a “minimum viable ecosystem” and, ultimately, to drive commercial success. The first is that users need to be incentivized to actively share their vehicle data. By guiding drivers to their shops, merchants could leverage real-time contextual data to substantially increase their acquisition rate and users would benefit from tailored product offers and reward programs.2
The current ecosystem fails to take advantage of this potential because OEMs maintain full ownership of the generated data. The second roadblock relates to the lack of system standardization. The absence of industry-wide system protocols makes seamless integration between service providers and OEMs more complicated and limits the diversity of in-vehicle payment offerings. The third roadblock is that the revenue sharing models for in-vehicle payments currently in place are unbalanced. However, without appropriate revenue distribution driven by the data economy, third parties remain unincentivized to invest their time or effort and are therefore staying out of the ecosystem. With the absence of third parties, the industry lacks a diversified service portfolio. This begs the question: What’s in it for the customer?2
In order to implement a successful in-vehicle payment ecosystem, these are the roadblocks that must be overcome. Once these challenges are addressed and complementors are willing to contribute their expertise to the market, the in-vehicle payment experience will become seamless, and users will be able to derive real economic benefit. Currently, the revenue potential is forecasted to increase significantly, with the value of in-vehicle payments expected to reach $86 billion by 2025, up from just $543 million in 2020.7